Day before UK general election, race remains close
The UK will hold a general election on December 12, 2019. Latest polling indicates that the Conservative party has a 10.4-point lead on the Labour Party. The gap has narrowed over the last couple of weeks. Despite the Conservative party’s consistent lead in polls, the race remains tight as they need to retain all the seats they currently have and win nine more additional seats to secure a working majority in Parliament.
There are three possible outcomes according to pollsters – a Conservative majority, a hung parliament (where no party wins a majority) or a Labour majority government (by far the least likely at this stage according to polling).
In the event of a hung parliament, the Conservative Party will get the first attempt at forming a new government. However, this will be challenging as the Prime Minister has fallen out with his former allies, the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland over his Brexit deal. The Liberal-Democrats, who also formed a coalition government with the Conservatives in 2010, have also stated they will not form a coalition with the Conservatives.
If the current government cannot gain a majority, the leader of the opposition will be given a chance to form one. The Labour party could form a coalition with the Scottish National Party. The Liberal Democrats have ruled out going into a coalition with Jeremy Corbyn, the current leader of the UK Labour Party.