The figures published in the Budget Cuts Tracker represent our best estimate of the future ODA funding landscape. Projected ODA is based on analysis of detailed budget lines and market-trend intelligence from the Donor Tracker's in-country network of experts. Where intelligence on planned/estimated ODA/GNI ratios is used, projected GNI is calculated by using forward-looking GDP growth rate figures from the IMF applied to the latest available GNI levels. GDP growth rate estimates are based on the latest IMF World Economic Outlook. A future shock to GDP and/or GNI could cause a divergence in the estimates. The US figures have been calculated based on likely ODA-eligible lines in the International Affairs Budget as reported by the US Global Leadership Coalition. 2027 US figures based on the most recent House budget were adjusted with a presumed percentage increase equivalent to that between the 2026 House and final conference budget. Due to the dismantling of USAID and other delivery instruments affecting execution rates as well as the volatile political situation in the US, these figures are highly uncertain and subject to change.

The Budget Cuts Tracker was last updated on: 17.06.2026.

SEEK Development created the Budget Cuts Tracker in 2025 as donor ODA budgets shifted quickly and cuts mounted across major donors. The tracker consolidated Donor Tracker ODA projections and analysis per market into a single source of projected ODA levels, which has proven critical for the development community to advocate effectively to protect ODA.

Let us know if you have any suggestions by emailing [email protected]. To stay informed about future updates, subscribe to the Donor Tracker Digest.

Between 2019 and 2023, ODA was on a slow but steady upward trajectory. In 2024, the 17 largest DAC donors provided US$205.5 billion in ODA (making up over 95% of total recorded ODA from all DAC donors), a decline from US$217.5 billion in 2023. The trend continued in 2025, which was the largest single-year contraction in ODA on record.

The biggest drivers of this decline are cuts from the two largest donors, the US and Germany. Across 12 other markets, including France and the UK, ODA is expected to decline due to a combination of budget cuts, reduced in-donor refugee costs, and reduced GDP growth.